Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Vilavella: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

La Vilavella (Castellón/Castelló, 3,084 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 43.5%) Majority 13%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.5% of the vote (2023: 26.7%) Majority 0%
IXLV−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.7% of the vote (2023: 6.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.5% → 39.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.7% → 25.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. IXLVLocal lists 22.2% → 22.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.4% → 11.7% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,239 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Vilavella in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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