Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cabanes: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cabanes (Castellón/Castelló, 3,079 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.6% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 34%
PSOE+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 10%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 16.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 41.7% → 44.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 40.4% → 39.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 16.4% → 14.1% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,516 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cabanes in size, in Castellón/Castelló

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