España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Torrelavega: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Torrelavega (Cantabria, 51,142 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 25.6%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.0% of the vote (2023: 23.3%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 22.4%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 8.2%) Majority 0%
TORRELAVEGA Sͱ0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
IU-PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.2% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 25.6% → 24.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. P.R.C.Local lists 23.3% → 24.0% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 22.4% → 19.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 8.2% → 14.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  5. TORRELAVEGA SÍLocal lists 8.0% → 8.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 4.0% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 27,085 valid votes including 501 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrelavega in size, in Cantabria

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