Guriezo: P.R.C. would keep its majority
Guriezo (Cantabria, 2,432 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 65%P.R.C. majority
- 1,480valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 35% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Guriezo
Guriezo is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 2,432 inhabitants, the 38th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 P.R.C. came first with 41.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CANTABRIA DISTINTA was second with 2. 75.2% of the 1,969 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps P.R.C. on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 65% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- P.R.C.Local lists 41.9% → 42.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- CANTABRIA DISTINTALocal lists 17.2% → 17.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 15.3% → 13.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- SGLocal lists 10.9% → 11.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 2.6% → 6.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- VXGLocal lists 4.1% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 6.5% → 3.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,480 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.