Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Liérganes: no list would have a majority, ULP largest

Liérganes (Cantabria, 2,423 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ULP+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 36.0% of the vote (2023: 34.8%) Majority 7%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 35.0% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority 8%
P.R.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.9% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ULPLocal lists 34.8% → 36.0% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.0% → 35.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. P.R.C.Local lists 14.7% → 15.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 2.3% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 7.6% → 4.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PORSumar, Podemos and allies 4.0% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,614 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Liérganes in size, in Cantabria

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