Arnuero: PP would keep its majority
Arnuero (Cantabria, 2,170 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 1,378valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arnuero
Arnuero is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 2,170 inhabitants, the 43rd largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 65.7% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; P.R.C. was second with 2. 75.3% of the 1,829 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 65.7% → 66.8% 8 → 8 councillors
- P.R.C.Local lists 22.6% → 24.1% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.3% → 7.7% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,378 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.