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Ampuero: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Ampuero (Cantabria, 4,384 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.6% of the vote (2023: 37.1%) Majority 2%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 33.5%) Majority 0%
P.R.C.±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ampuero

Ampuero is a municipality in the province of Cantabria with 4,384 inhabitants, the 25th largest of its 102 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 37.1% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 70.1% of the 3,634 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 37.1% → 37.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.5% → 31.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. P.R.C.Local lists 27.1% → 29.2% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,547 valid votes including 57 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ampuero in size, in Cantabria

Every municipality in Cantabria → · All of Spain →