Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Vicente de la Barquera: no list would have a majority, SVB largest

San Vicente de la Barquera (Cantabria, 4,030 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SVB±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.5% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 22%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.0% of the vote (2023: 38.0%) Majority 13%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.2% of the vote (2023: 3.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.1% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 64% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SVBLocal lists 38.3% → 39.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.0% → 37.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.7% → 8.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 9.9% → 7.1% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. P.R.C.Local lists 4.9% → 5.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,592 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Vicente de la Barquera in size, in Cantabria

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