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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Cádiz

Sanlúcar de Barrameda: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Sanlúcar de Barrameda (Cádiz, 69,727 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 32.2%) Majority 1%
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 28.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 25.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.2% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sanlúcar de Barrameda

Sanlúcar de Barrameda is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 69,727 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 32.2% of the vote and 9 seats; IU ANDALUCÍA was second with 7. 48.3% of the 55,651 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 32.2% → 32.4% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 28.0% → 24.1% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 25.6% → 23.0% 7 → 6 councillors
  4. VOXVox 9.4% → 16.2% 2 → 4 councillors
  5. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. VYTLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 26,899 valid votes including 395 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sanlúcar de Barrameda in size, in Cádiz

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