San Martín del Tesorillo: IU ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
San Martín del Tesorillo (Cádiz, 2,797 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%IU ANDALUCÍA majority
- 1,404valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IU ANDALUCÍA±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 58.7% of the vote (2023: 59.4%)
Majority 96%
PSOE-A−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.7% of the vote (2023: 24.1%)
Majority 0%
PP+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 15.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 59.4% → 58.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 24.1% → 23.7% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 15.7% → 16.8% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,404 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.