La Línea de la Concepción: LL100X100 would keep its majority
La Línea de la Concepción (Cádiz, 63,271 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- over 99%LL100X100 majority
- 22,928valid votes in 2023 (46% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Línea de la Concepción
La Línea de la Concepción is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 63,271 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 LL100X100 came first with 75.2% of the vote and 22 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 2. 46.4% of the 49,429 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps LL100X100 on 22 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- LL100X100Local lists 75.2% → 77.4% 22 → 22 councillors
- VOXVox 3.1% → 7.4% 0 → 2 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 9.3% → 6.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 5.4% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- OLEPLocal lists 3.0% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 22,928 valid votes including 107 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Línea de la Concepción in size, in Cádiz
- Sanlúcar de Barrameda69,727 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Chiclana de la Frontera87,493 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- El Puerto de Santa María89,435 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- San Fernando94,120 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Puerto Real41,963 inhabitants · 21 councillors
- Cádiz113,066 inhabitants · 27 councillors