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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Cádiz

Jerez de la Frontera: PP would keep its majority

Jerez de la Frontera (Cádiz, 212,730 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
14 councillors (2023: 14) · 42.8% of the vote (2023: 42.8%) Majority 56%
PSOE-A±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 29.9%) Majority under 1%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%) Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.6% of the vote (2023: 6.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Jerez de la Frontera

Jerez de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 212,730 inhabitants, the largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 27 seats, and 14 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 42.8% of the vote and 14 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 9. 55.7% of the 169,720 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.8% → 42.8% 14 → 14 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 29.9% → 26.9% 9 → 9 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.5% → 14.9% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.9% → 4.6% 2 → 0 councillors
  5. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 3.1% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. UALocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. UPGULocal lists 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. ALTERLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 94,484 valid votes including 1,368 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Jerez de la Frontera in size, in Cádiz

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