Jerez de la Frontera: PP would keep its majority
Jerez de la Frontera (Cádiz, 212,730 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 56%PP majority
- 94,484valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
14
councillors (2023: 14) · 42.8% of the vote (2023: 42.8%)
Majority 56%
PSOE-A±0
9
councillors (2023: 9) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 29.9%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+2
4
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%)
Majority 0%
PARA LA GENTE−2
0
councillors (2023: 2) · 4.6% of the vote (2023: 6.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 44% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.8% → 42.8% 14 → 14 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 29.9% → 26.9% 9 → 9 councillors
- VOXVox 8.5% → 14.9% 2 → 4 councillors
- PARA LA GENTESumar, Podemos and allies 6.9% → 4.6% 2 → 0 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 3.1% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- UALocal lists 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- UPGULocal lists 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- ALTERLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 94,484 valid votes including 1,368 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Jerez de la Frontera in size, in Cádiz
- Algeciras122,368 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- Cádiz113,066 inhabitants · 27 councillors
- San Fernando94,120 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- El Puerto de Santa María89,435 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Chiclana de la Frontera87,493 inhabitants · 25 councillors
- Sanlúcar de Barrameda69,727 inhabitants · 25 councillors