El Gordo: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Gordo (Cáceres, 371 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 74%no list with a majority
- 281valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Gordo
El Gordo is a municipality in the province of Cáceres with 371 inhabitants, the 149th largest of its 223 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 46.3% of the vote and 3 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 83.6% of the 336 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 46.3% → 43.6% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 36.7% → 31.6% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 17.1% → 24.8% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 281 valid votes including 0 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.