Arroyo de la Luz: PSOE would keep its majority
Arroyo de la Luz (Cáceres, 5,596 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 3,573valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arroyo de la Luz
Arroyo de la Luz is a municipality in the province of Cáceres with 5,596 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 223 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 58.7% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; SOMOS CC was second with 2. 74.4% of the 4,805 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 58.7% → 58.3% 9 → 8 councillors
- SOMOS CCLocal lists 18.1% → 20.3% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 14.3% → 14.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- J.U.E.X.Local lists 1.6% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,573 valid votes including 45 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Arroyo de la Luz in size, in Cáceres
- Montehermoso5,666 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Valencia de Alcántara5,272 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Jaraíz de la Vera6,585 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Moraleja6,691 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Malpartida de Plasencia4,635 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Casar de Cáceres4,481 inhabitants · 11 councillors