Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montehermoso: no list would have a majority, IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS largest

Montehermoso (Cáceres, 5,666 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDAS−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 29.4% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 15.4%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 19.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 34.2% → 29.4% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.2% → 27.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 15.4% → 23.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PPPP 19.0% → 18.3% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,294 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montehermoso in size, in Cáceres

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