Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almoharín: PSOE would keep its majority

Almoharín (Cáceres, 1,782 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.6% of the vote (2023: 54.4%) Majority 87%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 31.8% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 12% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 54.4% → 51.6% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 31.6% → 31.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.1% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. IU-PODEMOS-AV -UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 8.8% → 6.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,234 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almoharín in size, in Cáceres

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