Tardajos: CS would win a majority
Tardajos (Burgos, 812 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 51%CS majority
- 483valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tardajos
Tardajos is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 812 inhabitants, the 32nd largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CS came first with 43.9% of the vote and 3 seats; PP was second with 2. 74.9% of the 645 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CS on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 51% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CSCiudadanos 43.9% → 43.9% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 22.4% → 20.7% 2 → 1 councillors
- INDEPENDIENTES-TARDAJOSLocal lists 12.4% → 12.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 11.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.9% → 10.6% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 483 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.