Tardajos: CS would win a majority
Tardajos (Burgos, 812 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 51%CS majority
- 483valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CS+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 43.9%)
Majority 51%
PP−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 22.4%)
Majority 0%
INDEPENDIENTES-TARDAJOS±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.4% of the vote (2023: 12.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 6.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 13.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CSCiudadanos 43.9% → 43.9% 3 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 22.4% → 20.7% 2 → 1 councillors
- INDEPENDIENTES-TARDAJOSLocal lists 12.4% → 12.4% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 6.4% → 11.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 13.9% → 10.6% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 483 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.