Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ziortza-Bolibar: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Ziortza-Bolibar (Bizkaia, 405 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 69.6% of the vote (2023: 63.4%) Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 29.2% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Ziortza-Bolibar

Ziortza-Bolibar is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 405 inhabitants, the 98th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 63.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; EAJ-PNV was second with 2. 73% of the 326 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 63.4% → 69.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 34.9% → 29.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. PPPP 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 238 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ziortza-Bolibar in size, in Bizkaia

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