Nabarniz: EH BILDU would keep its majority
Nabarniz (Bizkaia, 261 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 94%EH BILDU majority
- 177valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 60.2% of the vote (2023: 53.7%)
Majority 94%
EAJ-PNV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 38.7% of the vote (2023: 45.2%)
Majority 6%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 53.7% → 60.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 45.2% → 38.7% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 177 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.