Lanestosa: LZ would win a majority
Lanestosa (Bizkaia, 261 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 50%LZ majority
- 157valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
LZ+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 41.4%)
Majority 50%
EAJ-PNV−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 47.1% of the vote (2023: 51.6%)
Majority 50%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- LZLocal lists 41.4% → 48.2% 3 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 51.6% → 47.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 1.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 157 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.