Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Morga: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Morga (Bizkaia, 422 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 49.6% of the vote (2023: 55.7%) Majority 49%
EH BILDU±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 48.9% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 51%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Morga

Morga is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 422 inhabitants, the 97th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 55.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 3. 72.6% of the 361 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 49% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 55.7% → 49.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 42.0% → 48.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 262 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Morga in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →