España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Markina-Xemein: EH BILDU would keep its majority

Markina-Xemein (Bizkaia, 5,042 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.9% of the vote (2023: 50.6%) Majority 91%
EAJ-PNV−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.8% of the vote (2023: 46.7%) Majority 9%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 50.6% → 57.9% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 46.7% → 40.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,380 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Markina-Xemein in size, in Bizkaia

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