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Berriz: EH BILDU would win a majority

Berriz (Bizkaia, 4,535 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 48.5% of the vote (2023: 40.4%) Majority 79%
EAJ-PNV±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 40.5%) Majority 13%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 40.4% → 48.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 40.5% → 37.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 7.8% → 5.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. PODEMOS, EZKER ANITZA / IU, ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 7.3% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 1.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,156 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Berriz in size, in Bizkaia

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