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Bermeo: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest

Bermeo (Bizkaia, 16,755 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−2
6 councillors (2023: 8) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 3%
EH BILDU+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 33.6% of the vote (2023: 29.0%) Majority 1%
GUZAN+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 28.2% of the vote (2023: 25.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bermeo

Bermeo is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 16,755 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 42% of the vote and 8 seats; EH BILDU was second with 5. 63% of the 13,087 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EAJ-PNV would be largest on 6 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 42.0% → 37.1% 8 → 6 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 29.0% → 33.6% 5 → 6 councillors
  3. GUZANLocal lists 25.0% → 28.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 2.7% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PPPP 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,245 valid votes including 72 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bermeo in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →