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Artzentales: EAJ-PNV would keep its majority

Artzentales (Bizkaia, 720 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EAJ-PNV−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 55.8% of the vote (2023: 61.6%) Majority 83%
EH BILDU+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 42.7% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority 17%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

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About Artzentales

Artzentales is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 720 inhabitants, the 84th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 61.6% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; EH BILDU was second with 2. 68.5% of the 616 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EAJ-PNV on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 83% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EAJ-PNVPNV 61.6% → 55.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 36.0% → 42.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 422 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Artzentales in size, in Bizkaia

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