Ibarrangelu: ARMENDU would keep its majority
Ibarrangelu (Bizkaia, 680 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%ARMENDU majority
- 447valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ARMENDU±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 72.6% of the vote (2023: 67.3%)
Majority over 99%
EAJ-PNV±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 31.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ARMENDULocal lists 67.3% → 72.6% 5 → 5 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 31.1% → 26.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.4% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 0.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 447 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.