Arrieta: EH BILDU would win a majority
Arrieta (Bizkaia, 576 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 65%EH BILDU majority
- 324valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 50.6% of the vote (2023: 44.1%)
Majority 65%
EAJ-PNV−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 46.0% of the vote (2023: 52.5%)
Majority 35%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 44.1% → 50.6% 3 → 4 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 52.5% → 46.0% 4 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 324 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.