España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Vilanova i la Geltrú: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Vilanova i la Geltrú (Barcelona, 68,152 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP±0
11 councillors (2023: 11) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 36.8%) Majority 8%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+3
3 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%
TRANSFORMEM-VNG−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
VECP - C−2
0 councillors (2023: 2) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 92% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 36.8% → 34.0% 11 → 11 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 10.6% → 14.0% 3 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.9% → 10.2% 0 → 3 councillors
  4. CMJunts 9.1% → 8.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CUP-AMUNTCUP 7.6% → 8.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. TRANSFORMEM-VNGSumar, Podemos and allies 9.4% → 6.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  7. PPPP 6.6% → 5.7% 2 → 1 councillors
  8. VECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.3% 2 → 0 councillors
  9. SVNGLocal lists 3.6% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. CSCiudadanos 2.2% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  11. PCPCLocal lists 0.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  12. CVNG - ARA PLSumar, Podemos and allies 0.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 26,401 valid votes including 490 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

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