Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa Maria d'Oló: OLÓ SOM TOTS- ERC- AM would keep its majority

Santa Maria d'Oló (Barcelona, 1,063 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

OLÓ SOM TOTS- ERC- AM±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 82.1% of the vote (2023: 77.9%) Majority over 99%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 16.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Santa Maria d'Oló

Santa Maria d'Oló is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 1,063 inhabitants, the 218th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 OLÓ SOM TOTS- ERC- AM came first with 77.9% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 1. 60.5% of the 868 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps OLÓ SOM TOTS- ERC- AM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. OLÓ SOM TOTS- ERC- AMERC 77.9% → 82.1% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. CMJunts 16.6% → 12.3% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 525 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Maria d'Oló in size, in Barcelona

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