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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Sant Vicenç dels Horts: no list would have a majority, JUNTSXSVH - ERC-EUIA - AM largest

Sant Vicenç dels Horts (Barcelona, 28,079 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

JUNTSXSVH - ERC-EUIA - AM+2
10 councillors (2023: 8) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority 18%
PSC - SV+ - CP−2
7 councillors (2023: 9) · 29.5% of the vote (2023: 35.5%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
SVHECP - C−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Sant Vicenç dels Horts

Sant Vicenç dels Horts is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 28,079 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC - SV+ - CP came first with 35.5% of the vote and 9 seats; JUNTSXSVH - ERC-EUIA - AM was second with 8. 51.7% of the 21,385 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: JUNTSXSVH - ERC-EUIA - AM would be largest on 10 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. JUNTSXSVH - ERC-EUIA - AMERC 31.6% → 37.7% 8 → 10 councillors
  2. PSC - SV+ - CPPSOE 35.5% → 29.5% 9 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 13.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. SVHECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 5.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 4.8% → 4.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 4.1% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. VXSVH-CSLocal lists 2.6% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 2.6% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,046 valid votes including 168 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Vicenç dels Horts in size, in Barcelona

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