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Sant Pere de Ribes: PSC-CP would keep its majority

Sant Pere de Ribes (Barcelona, 31,688 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 47.7% of the vote (2023: 51.0%) Majority 89%
UM 9-CUP-CONSTRUIR-AMUNT±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 5.0%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.0% of the vote (2023: 4.6%) Majority 0%
FP-ECP - C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sant Pere de Ribes

Sant Pere de Ribes is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 31,688 inhabitants, the 31st largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 51% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; UM 9-CUP-CONSTRUIR-AMUNT was second with 3. 51.1% of the 22,095 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSC-CP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 51.0% → 47.7% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. UM 9-CUP-CONSTRUIR-AMUNTCUP 12.3% → 13.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 11.9% → 11.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.0% → 10.2% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. ERC - AMERC 4.6% → 6.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. FP-ECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  7. PPPP 4.5% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 1.6% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. REACCIONA - APLLocal lists 1.5% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,286 valid votes including 118 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Pere de Ribes in size, in Barcelona

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