Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Sant Just Desvern: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Sant Just Desvern (Barcelona, 19,806 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 35.6% of the vote (2023: 39.5%) Majority 11%
ERC - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 8.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%
ESJD - ARA PL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 10.0%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.0% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.3% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%
SJECP - C±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 89% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 39.5% → 35.6% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 8.7% → 11.2% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.4% → 10.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. ESJD - ARA PLLocal lists 10.0% → 10.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CMJunts 9.9% → 9.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CUP-AMUNTCUP 7.2% → 7.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. PPPP 7.3% → 6.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  8. SJECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 8.4% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  9. SOM-HI SANT JUST VIVA!Local lists 2.5% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 8,455 valid votes including 100 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Just Desvern in size, in Barcelona

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