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Ripollet: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Ripollet (Barcelona, 39,031 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP−2
8 councillors (2023: 10) · 33.0% of the vote (2023: 38.5%) Majority 5%
ADR±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 24.8% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
4 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Ripollet

Ripollet is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 39,031 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 38.5% of the vote and 10 seats; ADR was second with 6. 52.3% of the 27,760 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 38.5% → 33.0% 10 → 8 councillors
  2. ADRLocal lists 25.1% → 24.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.5% → 15.1% 2 → 4 councillors
  4. ERC - AMERC 8.6% → 10.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. PPPP 6.6% → 5.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. RLYDLocal lists 4.4% → 4.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CMJunts 3.1% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 2.6% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. RN.CATLocal lists 0.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,532 valid votes including 210 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ripollet in size, in Barcelona

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