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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Olesa de Montserrat: no list would have a majority, BO - AMUNT largest

Olesa de Montserrat (Barcelona, 24,272 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

BO - AMUNT±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 22.7%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 18.0%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 26.4%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 9.0%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.4% of the vote (2023: 7.3%) Majority 0%
OOECP - C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.8% of the vote (2023: 7.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Olesa de Montserrat

Olesa de Montserrat is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 24,272 inhabitants, the 41st largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 26.4% of the vote and 6 seats; BO - AMUNT was second with 6. 51.2% of the 17,915 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: BO - AMUNT would be largest on 6 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. BO - AMUNTCUP 22.7% → 23.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 18.0% → 23.4% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 26.4% → 23.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  4. CMJunts 9.0% → 8.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 7.1% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PPPP 7.3% → 6.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. OOECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 7.2% → 4.8% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,181 valid votes including 219 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Olesa de Montserrat in size, in Barcelona

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