La Roca del Vallès: no list would have a majority, CM largest
La Roca del Vallès (Barcelona, 10,776 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 4,544valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Roca del Vallès
La Roca del Vallès is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 10,776 inhabitants, the 80th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 31.8% of the vote and 6 seats; PSC-CP was second with 4. 53.5% of the 8,498 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 6 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 31.8% → 28.8% 6 → 6 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 13.9% → 17.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 18.8% → 15.7% 4 → 3 councillors
- ARALAROCALocal lists 10.7% → 11.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.1% → 10.1% 1 → 2 councillors
- LREC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 8.0% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- S.L.R.Local lists 4.3% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 3.1% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 1.8% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,544 valid votes including 115 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Roca del Vallès in size, in Barcelona
- Sant Joan de Vilatorrada10,820 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Premià de Dalt10,400 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Santa Margarida de Montbui10,294 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Llinars del Vallès10,205 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Alella10,079 inhabitants · 17 councillors
- Pallejà11,593 inhabitants · 17 councillors