La Palma de Cervelló: CM would keep its majority
La Palma de Cervelló (Barcelona, 3,026 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 91%CM majority
- 1,510valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Palma de Cervelló
La Palma de Cervelló is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 3,026 inhabitants, the 165th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 55.4% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; LA PALMA SEMPRE - ERC - AM was second with 2. 63.9% of the 2,362 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 55.4% → 53.1% 7 → 6 councillors
- LA PALMA SEMPRE - ERC - AMERC 19.6% → 26.6% 2 → 3 councillors
- SAC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 11.1% → 8.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.4% → 8.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,510 valid votes including 53 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Palma de Cervelló in size, in Barcelona
- Sant Esteve de Palautordera3,043 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Els Hostalets de Pierola3,127 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Les Masies de Voltregà3,133 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Vallgorguina3,144 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Caldes d'Estrac3,148 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Monistrol de Montserrat3,166 inhabitants · 11 councillors