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Igualada: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Igualada (Barcelona, 40,767 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−2
8 councillors (2023: 10) · 36.7% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 7%
SOM-HI - PSC - IO - CP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 22.0%) Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%
PA-CUP- AMUNT±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.5% of the vote (2023: 3.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Igualada

Igualada is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 40,767 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 40.2% of the vote and 10 seats; SOM-HI - PSC - IO - CP was second with 5. 56.8% of the 29,421 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 8 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 40.2% → 36.7% 10 → 8 councillors
  2. SOM-HI - PSC - IO - CPPSOE 22.0% → 18.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. ERC - AMERC 14.3% → 18.5% 3 → 4 councillors
  4. PA-CUP- AMUNTCUP 12.0% → 12.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.9% → 8.5% 0 → 2 councillors
  6. PPPP 3.3% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. VALENTSLocal lists 0.8% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 1.8% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 16,725 valid votes including 263 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Igualada in size, in Barcelona

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