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Gelida: PSC-GELIDA-CP would keep its majority

Gelida (Barcelona, 7,814 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-GELIDA-CP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 49.6% of the vote (2023: 52.8%) Majority 89%
ERC - AM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 13.6%) Majority 0%
GXR - FP - FIC±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.8% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 9.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 11% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Gelida

Gelida is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 7,814 inhabitants, the 104th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSC-GELIDA-CP came first with 52.8% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 2. 58.6% of the 5,753 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSC-GELIDA-CP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 89% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-GELIDA-CPPSOE 52.8% → 49.6% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 13.6% → 17.9% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. GXR - FP - FICLocal lists 13.0% → 13.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. CUP-AMUNTCUP 9.8% → 10.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CMJunts 5.7% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. GECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 3.7% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,372 valid votes including 47 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gelida in size, in Barcelona

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