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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

El Masnou: no list would have a majority, ERC-AM - AM largest

El Masnou (Barcelona, 23,829 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC-AM - AM+3
9 councillors (2023: 6) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 25.6%) Majority 7%
FMM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 17.8% of the vote (2023: 17.3%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 16.8%) Majority 0%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
PP−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
MECP-C−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.2% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Masnou

El Masnou is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 23,829 inhabitants, the 42nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC-AM - AM came first with 25.6% of the vote and 6 seats; FMM was second with 4. 54.3% of the 18,171 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC-AM - AM would be largest on 9 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC-AM - AMERC 25.6% → 32.7% 6 → 9 councillors
  2. FMMLocal lists 17.3% → 17.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 16.8% → 13.7% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. CMJunts 14.7% → 13.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  5. PPPP 7.8% → 6.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. PLENS - ARA PLLocal lists 3.2% → 3.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. MECP-CSumar, Podemos and allies 5.5% → 3.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 2.9% → 2.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. EMARALocal lists 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. VALENTSLocal lists 1.7% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,868 valid votes including 175 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Masnou in size, in Barcelona

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