Cubelles: no list would have a majority, CM largest
Cubelles (Barcelona, 16,386 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 6,109valid votes in 2023 (49% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 27.8%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 21.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.8% of the vote (2023: 10.3%)
Majority 0%
ERC - AM+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 8.5%)
Majority 0%
JXCUB - ARA PL±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 9.4%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 6.6%)
Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 5.1%)
Majority 0%
CECP - C−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.0% of the vote (2023: 6.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 27.8% → 25.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 21.8% → 18.5% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 10.3% → 16.8% 2 → 3 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 8.5% → 10.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- JXCUB - ARA PLLocal lists 9.4% → 9.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 6.6% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 5.1% → 5.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- CECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.0% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.7% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,109 valid votes including 81 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.