Castellnou de Bages: CESM would keep its majority
Castellnou de Bages (Barcelona, 1,431 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 59%CESM majority
- 737valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CESM±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 47.4% of the vote (2023: 51.0%)
Majority 59%
ERC-AM+1
4
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 36.5%)
Majority 29%
CM−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 9.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 12% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CESMLocal lists 51.0% → 47.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- ERC-AMERC 36.5% → 42.0% 3 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 9.4% → 7.6% 1 → 0 councillors
- PCPCLocal lists 2.3% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 737 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Castellnou de Bages in size, in Barcelona
- Sant Iscle de Vallalta1,433 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Font-rubí1,446 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Torrelavit1,457 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Santa Eulàlia de Riuprimer1,401 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Vallbona d'Anoia1,387 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- El Pla del Penedès1,335 inhabitants · 9 councillors