Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torrelavit: no list would have a majority, ERC / ESQUERRA largest

Torrelavit (Barcelona, 1,457 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC / ESQUERRA+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.9% of the vote (2023: 32.1%) Majority 13%
CM−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.9% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 9%
F.I.C.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.3% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 78% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 32.1% → 38.9% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. CMJunts 45.4% → 38.9% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. F.I.C.Local lists 20.7% → 20.3% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 798 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torrelavit in size, in Barcelona

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