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Castellet i la Gornal: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest

Castellet i la Gornal (Barcelona, 2,474 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSC-CP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.8% of the vote (2023: 42.6%) Majority 13%
ERC - AM+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 22.5%) Majority 0%
VALENTS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.9% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSC-CPPSOE 42.6% → 38.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. ERC - AMERC 18.2% → 23.4% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 22.5% → 20.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VALENTSLocal lists 14.3% → 14.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 995 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castellet i la Gornal in size, in Barcelona

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