Cardona: ERC - AM would keep its majority
Cardona (Barcelona, 4,575 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 97%ERC - AM majority
- 2,044valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cardona
Cardona is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 4,575 inhabitants, the 137th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 49.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 4. 56.2% of the 3,634 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ERC - AMERC 49.7% → 58.1% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 38.1% → 31.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- CMJunts 8.8% → 7.2% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,044 valid votes including 71 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.