Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cànoves i Samalús: CM would keep its majority

Cànoves i Samalús (Barcelona, 3,289 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.6% of the vote (2023: 60.2%) Majority 97%
PSC-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 25.3%) Majority 0%
ESQUERRA EN COMÚ - AM+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cànoves i Samalús

Cànoves i Samalús is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 3,289 inhabitants, the 155th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 60.2% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 3. 59.7% of the 2,581 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 60.2% → 57.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 25.3% → 23.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. ESQUERRA EN COMÚ - AMERC 13.2% → 18.0% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,540 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cànoves i Samalús in size, in Barcelona

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