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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Barcelona

Calaf: JXC-AM would keep its majority

Calaf (Barcelona, 3,590 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

JXC-AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.6% of the vote (2023: 49.9%) Majority 99%
SC-CP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.8% of the vote (2023: 28.4%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Calaf

Calaf is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 3,590 inhabitants, the 152nd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 JXC-AM came first with 49.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; SC-CP was second with 3. 58.5% of the 2,313 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps JXC-AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. JXC-AMERC 49.9% → 58.6% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. SC-CPPSOE 28.4% → 22.8% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CMJunts 18.2% → 15.1% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,354 valid votes including 48 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Calaf in size, in Barcelona

Every municipality in Barcelona → · All of Spain →