España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Sant Cebrià de Vallalta: ERC - AM would win a majority

Sant Cebrià de Vallalta (Barcelona, 3,619 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.5% of the vote (2023: 37.6%) Majority 50%
AVSC±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 34.4%) Majority under 1%
CM±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.3% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
CUP - AMUNT−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 7.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 50% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 37.6% → 44.5% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. AVSCLocal lists 34.4% → 32.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CMJunts 13.5% → 11.3% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CUP - AMUNTCUP 7.7% → 7.4% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. PSC-CPPSOE 5.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,459 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sant Cebrià de Vallalta in size, in Barcelona

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