Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdelacalzada: IPORV would win a majority

Valdelacalzada (Badajoz, 2,755 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IPORV+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 50.1% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 56%
PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 44%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Valdelacalzada

Valdelacalzada is a municipality in the province of Badajoz with 2,755 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 165 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 51.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; IPORV was second with 5. 78.6% of the 2,187 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps IPORV on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 56% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IPORVLocal lists 47.1% → 50.1% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 51.2% → 48.1% 6 → 5 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,718 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdelacalzada in size, in Badajoz

Every municipality in Badajoz → · All of Spain →